1. The current over/under spread on fivethirtyeight.com is 314 for Obama. I'll take the over bet.
BMS currently owes me $10 for the primaries, let's see what he'll go for the general. My crazy right-wing uncle already bet me a Jackson for a straight up victory, but I kinda think my friends are going to want a point spread. Maybe I'll write something up for this weekend...
2. I'll go balls-out for Senators and predict we get to 60. I actually think we'll get 62, if the trend from 2006 holds.
3. Chris Shays is toast. After this election, New England will be GOP-free in the House.
Thursday, July 03, 2008
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If Stevens gets beat (by anyone) I'll be a happy man. Of the Democrats only Landrieu seem vulnerable. A net gain of 11 seems tough; 9 if you count Sanders and Lieberman. Insofar as the balance of power is concerned those two cancel each other out.
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